Friday, July 9, 2021

USA – LED Flashlight Market Forecast

 

The consumption of new LED flashlights reached an estimated 126.6 million units in 2020

 July 7, 2021 -- ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market and technology forecast firm covering photonic and electronic devices, today announced the findings of their market research study of the use of LED-based flashlights in the United States. 

 According to the study, the U.S. consumption value of LED-based Flashlights in 2020 was estimated at $487.5 million.  Due to the impact on production, sales, shipment, and implementation caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19), ElectroniCast estimated a continued slowdown in 2020 compared to the previous year, along with consumption value concerns this year (2021), since decreasing average selling prices are partially off-setting the increases in volume (quantity) of flashlight units.

 This year (2021), the consultancy forecasts an increase in the consumption value of LED-based flashlights in the United States, after the challenges, caused by the pandemic; however, their forecast presents a relatively “flat” growth pattern in value throughout the decade due mostly by flat-to-decreases in average selling prices, which is due mostly to automated packaged LED manufacturing technology advancements and competitive pressures; the relatively large use of LED-based products had initially been due to the displacement of the various other/competing light source technology. However, according to ElectroniCast, Laser Excited Phosphor (LEP) flashlights are set to take some market share from LED-based flashlights, especially in higher-end rechargeable units.

 The retail-specialty sales channel held a 57% relative market share of the United States’ consumption value in 2020 at nearly $280 million.  The retail-specialty sales channel is forecast to maintain the lead in relative market share throughout the next 10-years in terms of value; however, in terms of volume (quantity/units), the retail-general category will catch up to the retail-specialty sales channel towards the end of the forecast period, as general-type flashlights continue to incorporate increase capability at a lower average selling price.

Rechargeable versus Standard - The consumption value of flashlights in the United States (USA) was estimated at $487.5 million in 2020.  In terms of value, flashlights, which are sold and promoted to recharge the power source (batteries), are forecast to dominate the product mix; however, in terms of the volume (quantity/units), the Standard types of flashlights are forecast to maintain the market share lead. (The Standard-types of flashlights are priced considerably less than the Rechargeable-types). 

 This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact the ElectroniCast Internet site.

ElectroniCast Consultants – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communication, and data network companies and the financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.


Sunday, May 30, 2021

LEDs in Test/Measurement, Medical/Science Market Forecast

May 28, 2021 – ElectroniCast, a leading market/technology consultancy, today announced the release of an update and application expansion to their annual market study and forecast of the use of packaged light-emitting diodes (LEDs) used in test/measurement, medical, and other scientific devices.   

According to the research study, the global consumption value of packaged LEDs in selected test/measurement, medical, and other science devices in 2020 was estimated at $514.4 million.  Due to the impact on production, sales, shipment, and implementation caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19), the consultants estimated a slowdown in 2020, and they are forecasting a continuation of consumption concerns in 2021.

Due to the lower base consumption value in 2020, due to the impact of COVID-19, the consultancy is forecasting an average annual growth rate of 12.2 percent during the 1st-half of the forecast period (2020 to 2025); reaching over $914 million in 2025. During the 2nd-half of the forecast (2025-2020), the value is forecast to increase at a slower rate, but advance in value to well over $1 billion in 2030 with quantity growth partially offset, by a decline of average selling prices (ASPs).  

All values and prices in this report are at end-user levels and are in current dollars, which include the effect of a forecasted 5 percent annual inflation rate over the forecast period. Market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.  

The market data of the consumption (use) of LEDs are also segmented by an extensive range of colors. According to the study, UV lamps are rapidly replacing mercury-based lamps in many applications. Red LEDs (including visible red, infrared/IR, and near-IR), in 2020, represented over 20 percent share of the worldwide marketplace.

The forecast by Sensing/Detection and Analytical/Monitoring applications, in 2020, representing over 30% of the worldwide consumption value of packaged LEDs in the selected test/measurement and medical/science devices; and the relative market share is forecast to increase further in value to over $400 million in 2030. 

The consumption of LEDs in Phototherapy/Sanitation/Cell Regeneration/Curing application category, which includes horticulture, sterilization of surface areas, air, and water, medical, health & beauty Photodynamic Therapy (PDT), as well as selected medical device curing, and other uses, is forecast to increase to $670.8 million in 2030.  Overall LEDs used in Instrumentation Light Sources and Imaging devices was reportedly down in 2020, due to the economic impact of the coronavirus.

This market forecast report is available immediately from ElectroniCast or authorized agents worldwide. 

Founded in 1981, ElectroniCast – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communication and data network companies, and the financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants’ goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning. 

 www.electronicast.com


Sunday, May 9, 2021

Fiber Optic Connector Market Forecast


May 9, 2021 -- ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market & technology forecast consultancy addressing the fiber optics communications industry, today announced the release of their market forecast and analysis of the use of fiber optic connectors and mechanical splices in communication applications. 

 10-Year Market Forecast - The global fiber optic connector and mechanical splice consumption value reached an estimated $4.18 billion in 2020. The consumption is forecast to increase with moderate to mature rising quantity growth slightly offset by declining average selling prices.  In the year 2025, the worldwide consumption value is forecast to reach $5.19 billion, and then forecasted to increase to nearly $5.59 billion in the year 2030.[1]  Note: Market forecast data in this study refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.

 Pushed by the use of multimode connectors in private data networks, the American region was the leader in global consumption value last year (2020); however, both the EMEA and the APAC regions are forecast to achieve faster annual growth versus the American region, during the next decade. 

 Because of the impact on production, supply, decreases in sales, slowdowns in marketing, shipment and implementation (and other) caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19), the consultancy estimated a slowdown in consumption in 2020; however, driven by the immediate need to expand bandwidth in multiple applications, they are forecasting an increasingly positive recovery.

 Fiber optic connector use (value) in the Telecommunications application is forecast to increase at an annual growth rate of 6.6 percent (2020-2025), driven by access network fiber deployment (FTTx) and wireless/mobile backbone infrastructure, such as 5G; and then the annual growth rate is set to increase at a slower pace during the 2nd-half at the forecast period. Fiber-to-the x (FTTx) is a generic term for any broadband network architecture using optical fiber to provide all or part of the local loop used for last-mile telecommunications.

Fiber optic connector and mechanical splice units are also used in a variety of Military/ Aerospace applications requiring rigorous testing and harsh environment fiber optic certification to ensure reliability and performance in the field.  Fiber optic technology is used for a wide variety of air, sea, ground, and space applications.  Connectors with polarization keys and keyways must be manufactured to exacting tolerances to reduce radial misalignment and insertion loss. In addition to telecommunications, cable TV, and private data networks, fiber optic connectors are used in specialty industry applications, such as medical/science, automotive, oil/gas, underwater, industrial, sensors and other user-groups.

The global fiber optic connector consumption is driven by the continued increase in bandwidth demand beyond the limits of copper.  As optical fiber use migrates closer and closer to the end user, where cable lengths are shorter with higher fiber counts, the requirements for jointing fibers becomes more critical. Splicing and connecting, play a significant role in a network’s cost and performance.

There are over 120 vendors competing for the global fiber optic connector/mechanical splice market, which ElectroniCast tracks, using a product matrix showing vendor participation in several fiber optic interconnect product segments. 

This market forecast report is available immediately from ElectroniCast or authorized agents worldwide. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact at the company's website.

Founded in 1981, ElectroniCast – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communication and data network companies and the financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants’ goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.

 


[1]  All values and prices in this report are at factory as-shipped levels, and are in current dollars, which include the effect of a forecasted 5 percent annual inflation rate over the forecast period.


Thursday, February 11, 2021

 

Field-Terminated Fusion Splice-On Connector

America Region Market Forecast

 

According to ElectroniCast, the installation of field-terminated fiber optic fusion SOCs in the America region, in the year 2030, is set to reach over 13-million

 December 15, 2020 - ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market and technology forecast consultancy addressing the fiber optics communications industry, today announced the release of a new market forecast of the consumption of field terminated fiber optic fusion splice-on connectors in America region.

 Field terminated fiber optic fusion Splice On Connectors (SOC) are installed for permanent termination, as well as rapid repairs or for limited space situations where pre-terminated fiber cabling may be difficult, such as when the cable assembly needs to pass through small openings such as conduit or storage space for cable slack is limited.  The splice-on connectors are an option when the precise length of the optical fiber link is not pre-determined and a field-installed termination solution is required, such as in Fiber to the Home (FTTH), Data Centers, and other communication applications.

 In 2019, nearly 8 million field-terminated fiber optic fusion splice-on connectors were installed in non-OEM applications in the America region (North America plus the rest of the region).  Because of the impact on production, sales, shipment and implementation caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19), ElectroniCast has forecasted a slowdown or negative movement in consumption in 2020 and, in some categories, a sluggish recovery.

 The number of fiber optic fusion splice-on connectors (SOCs) is forecast to increase at an average annual growth rate of nearly 5%, installing over 10 million units in 2024 and installing over 13 million units in the year 2030.  Market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data. 

 The Telecommunications application category is forecast to maintain the leadership in relative market share through the year 2030.  Telecommunication volume (quantity/unit) consumption mainly driven by access optical fiber deployment, RF-overlay/infra-structures (5G - next generation cellular and other).  The Cable TV/Multimedia application is also driven by the use of connectors for FTTH (Home) and FTTB (Building/MDUs – Multiple Dwelling Units). Increasing volume is also predicted for Premises Networks/Data Centers and other applications.

 

The market forecast segments the connectors by single-mode and multimode optical fiber, as well as into the following types: MPO, LC, FC, ST, SC, and other. The field termination of multimode fiber connectors, which are best suited for use in relative short lengths, is forecasted to reach close to 3-million units in 2030.

 

Fiber optic fusion splice on connectors (SOC) are used in FTTx networks, cable TV backbone networks, Central Office and Head-End connector replacement, outside plant (OSP) and multiple dwelling units (apartments/condominiums) fiber to the premises (FTTP) cabling, RF-overlay/ infrastructures (5G - next generation cellular and other), and FTTP networks, as well as premises networks (Fiber-to-the-Desk, Other), data center (DC) installation, connector restoration in the field, industrial and specialty applications and other miscellaneous applications.

 In addition to outside plant (OSP) installations, field terminated fiber optic fusion splice on connectors (SOC) are finding their way into data centers (DC) and other inside plant applications.  With these connectors, installers/ technicians can accomplish cable builds with exact lengths, eliminating the short cable and excess cable slack, as well as logistic delays associated with pre-terminated cables.  The SOCs provide reliable, permanent, terminations that provide an alternative to mechanical splice connector types.  The connectors also facilitate fast MAC (moves, adds and changes) installation solutions.

 This ElectroniCast report provides the fiber optic fusion SOC consumption value, quantity and average selling prices in the America region, segmented by North America and Rest of America. History data are presented for 2019 and immediate estimates for the year 2020, plus the year-by-year forecast through 2030 for each significant type of field-terminated fusion splice-on connector.  The value is determined by multiplying the number of units by the average selling price (ASP). The ASPs are based on the price of the connector at the initial factory level. 

 The forecast for each connector type, in turn, is segmented into each selected communication application.  Company profiles of selected competitors and related companies are provided.  Additionally, competitive market share estimates (2019) for selected manufacturers of field-terminated fusion splice-on connectors are provided. 

 The American regional fiber optic connector consumption is driven by a dramatic increase in bandwidth demand beyond the limits of copper.  Technological advances in fiber optics are assuring the migration of fiber closer and closer to the end user. This translates into demand for shorter links where connectors represent a substantial share of the total installation cost. The cost concerns are being addressed with the introduction of smaller, lower cost and easier to install connectors. The use of multiple-fiber connectors is also increasing, driven by the need for high fiber-count cable density interconnect applications.

  This market forecast report is available immediately from ElectroniCast. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact ElectroniCast at www.electronicast.com

 ElectroniCast Consultants, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communication and data network companies and the financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants’ goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.

 

Fiber Optic Fusion Splicers Market Forecast

 The Asia Pacific region is forecast to lead in fusion splicer use over the next decade…

 

August 20, 2020 -- ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market and technology research consultancy addressing the optical communications industry, today announced the release of an extensive study report covering the worldwide market for Fiber Optic Fusion Splicers, covering the years 2019-2029. ElectroniCast is forecasting an overall slowdown average of 14% in consumption value for 2020, partially caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19).

 A Fusion Splicer is specialized instrument used to join optical fibers to each other. The generally accepted splicing method is arc fusion splicing, which melts the fiber ends together with an electric arc. The new market report, provides a forecast for the use of fusion splicers by various fiber optic-based communication applications., such as: Telecommunications; Private Enterprise Networks; Cable TV; Military/Aerospace; and Specialty applications.               

Telecommunications/Multimedia represented a 68 percent share of worldwide consumption of fiber optic fusion splicers last year; the Telecommunication/Multimedia consumption value reached nearly $268 million in 2019.  In terms of volume (number of new units), the fastest forecasted near-term growth is attributed to the use of fusions splicers to install optical fiber in at Data Centers and other Private Enterprise Networks.                 

The “Greater China Region” (Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan) is forecast to remain the major user of fusion splicers in the Asia Pacific region (APAC).  The Asia Pacific region use of fiber optic fusion splicers is mostly attributed to countries in the region expanding the reach and density capabilities of their mobile/wireless device (optical fiber) infrastructure, as well as bringing optical fiber closer to the drop-areas, such as Fiber to the Building (FTTB)

For single fiber fusion splicers, ElectroniCast is forecasting a major shift to lighter machines (less than 2.3kg with battery), rapidly grabbing market share versus the larger and heavier units.

 This market forecast report is available immediately from ElectroniCast, as well as authorized agents worldwide. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact us at our website.

 Founded in 1981, ElectroniCast – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communication and data network companies and the financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants’ goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.

 

 

 

 

Planar Lightwave Circuit (PLC) Splitters for Optical Fibers

Global Market Forecast

 ElectroniCast is estimated a slowdown in consumption for 2020, caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19)

 February 9, 2021 - ElectroniCast, a leading market and technology consultancy, today announced the report release of their 10-year market forecast of the global consumption of Planar Lightwave Circuit (PLC) splitters used in Fiber Optic Communication Networks.

The PLC splitter market forecast date is segmented by: Component Device (compact devices); and Modules (splitter cassette modules).

 

PLC Splitter Component Devices - According to the study, the worldwide consumption value of PLC splitter component-level compact devices (tube, cassette or compact box-type) reached an estimated $131.91 million in 2020, down from $153.56 million in 2019; due mainly from the impact on production, sales, shipment and implementation caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19).

 

The worldwide consumption value of PLC splitter component-level compact devices (tube, cassette or compact box-type) is forecast to increase to $176.89 million in the year 2028, before slipping slightly to $176.09 million in 2030.    The forecasted slippage in 2029 is due mainly to approaching market saturation in the key markets.

 

Not all of the PLC splitter component-level compact devices are used in PLC splitter modules. PLC splitter component-level compact devices (tube, cassette or compact box-type) can be purchased by the end-user and placed in an existing splice-tray or other enclosure protection. In this consumption scenario, ElectroniCast quantifies the PLC splitter as a component-level device (only) and not quantified as a factory-fabricated PLC splitter module.

 

However, the PLC splitter component-level compact devices can be installed into a value-added enclosure (module) either by the same company that produced the component-level device (captive producer) or sold to another manufacturer (original equipment manufacturer – OEM) that packages the component-level PLC splitter devices into modules, which are eventually sold and consumed as modules instead of component-level devices. If the end-user purchases the PLC splitters that are already packaged in an enclosure (module, rack-mount or other enclosure), then ElectroniCast also counts the PLC component-level devices as PLC splitter modules (enclosures). 

 

PLC Splitter Modules – The worldwide consumption value of PLC splitter modules reached an estimated $103.51 million in 2020; in the year 2029, the value is forecasted to reach $210.59 before slipping to $206.20 million in 2030.  The forecasted slippage in 2029 is due mainly to approaching market saturation in the more established sub-regional markets.

 

The global use of PLC splitters in the Telco/CATV (Service Provider) application category, is forecast for a relatively low growth pattern during the next decade; mainly because much of the “greenfield” (new-built) Telco/CATV projects are winding-down in mature countries. 

 

PLC splitters used in FTTX, PONs and other Telecom (and CATV) service provider network applications are leading in global consumption in 2021. The PLC splitters used with test/measurement, R&D and specialty applications are forecast for slow but steady increases each year.

 

The use of PLC splitters in Private Enterprise is forecast for “double-digit” annual growth for the next decade.  Private Enterprise and the majority of Harsh Environment optical communication usage, tends to favor multimode optical fiber (and lower port-count) and therefore most of the coupler/splitter function is dealt with by the usage of Fused Biconical Taper (FBT) component; however, as overall single-mode optical fiber use and link distances expand in Private Enterprise, including Enterprise Hyperscale Data Centers (HDCs), and Harsh Environments, so will the use of PLC splitters, according to ElectroniCast. It is important to note, however, that device (and module) packaging for the harsh environment application (military, industrial, and other related) demands a cost/price premium versus standard packaging.

 This annual study report quantifies PLC splitter compact devices, as well as PLC splitter modules (such as ABS Box modules and other types).

 There are several piece-parts that are needed to produce a typical PLC splitter, such as 1 or 2 input optical fibers with an input fiber containment unit, a planar (splitter) chip, a fiber array containment unit, and several output optical fibers (2 or more), as well as the housing/exterior package. PLC splitters are available in several configurations; the study report provides market data on 11-separate configuration (port-count), addressing average selling price, volume and value, for the years 2020-2030. 

 This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast to our clients. This market forecast report is available immediately from ElectroniCast. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact ElectroniCast at their website.

 Founded in 1981, ElectroniCast – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning and consulting. ElectroniCast, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communications and manufacturing companies, as well as the investment/financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast’s goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.

 

 

 

 

 

NEWS RELEASE                           

ElectroniCast Consultants

Optical Isolator and Fiber Optic Circulator Market Forecast

 The worldwide use of micro-optic component optical isolators reached $663 million last year (2020). 

 January 28, 2021 -- ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market research & technology forecast consultancy addressing the fiber optics communications industry, today announced the release of a new market forecast of the global consumption of micro-optic component optical isolators and fiber optic circulators in optical communications.

 According to the study report, the worldwide use of fiber optic circulators reached $292.54 million last year (2020).  The fiber optic circulator market is quantified by the following port-count configurations: 3-Ports and 4-Ports.  The 3-Port fiber optic circulator component category held the majority share in 2020. 

 According to ElectroniCast, there was a continued push and strong demand for optical communication links in all regions in the year 2020; therefore, the consultancy estimates that there was a relatively minor impact in consumption of optical component isolators and fiber optic circulators in 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

 The fastest annual growth of the worldwide consumption value of fiber optic circulators will be in the Private Network application with expanding Data Centers (increasing at an average annual growth rate of 12.5%, over the next 5-years; however, the Telecom/ CATV/Multimedia application is set to maintain its dominant market share lead throughout the forecast period.

 The Asia Pacific region (APAC) is the leader, in terms of relative market share, with the consumption value of fiber optic circulators in 2020; however, the APAC share percentage (%) is forecast to decrease versus the other regions over the next 5-years.

 The worldwide use of micro-optic component optical isolators reached $663 million last year (2020).  The component optical isolator market is quantified by the use of inline types with optical fiber pigtails; and package free-space optical isolators.

 Optical isolators are designed as a compact and lightweight component, which allows easy integration. Optical isolators can also include a larger/more expensive device level product; however, this market analysis and forecast for the micro-optic component level isolators only.

 Optical isolators are reliable devices when used in conjunction with fiber optic amplifiers, fiber optic ring lasers, fiber optic communication systems, and high-speed/ DWDM and coherent fiber optic links, laboratory R&D, sensors, gyro-systems, test/instrumentation measurement quality assurance applications in automation of manufacturing processes, and many other applications 



Note: Market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.

 

This market forecast report is available immediately from ElectroniCast. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact Stephen Montgomery at email - montgomery@electronicast.com  

 

ElectroniCast – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in communication networks and in the products used in those networks.  This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communication and data network companies and the financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants’ goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.