Tuesday, February 27, 2018

Harsh Environment Fiber Optic (HEFO) Market Forecast From ElectroniCast Consultants

According to ElectroniCast Consultants, the worldwide use of fiber optic components used in harsh environments is forecast to reach $7.26 billion in 2027… 

Aptos, CA (USA) – February 28, 2018 -- ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market and technology research consultancy addressing the fiber optics communications industry, today announced the release of an extensive market study report of the global use of the fiber optic components, and supporting devices and parts, which are designed to operate in harsh environments, beyond the environment of commercial telecom and datacom (premise) installations. 

According to the ElectroniCast study, the worldwide value of Harsh Environment Fiber Optic (HEFO) components reached an estimated $2.74 billion last year (see Figure 1). In this new market study, for the first-time - ElectroniCast added the consumption totals of fiber point sensors used in harsh environments to the total value data.

The value of HEFO components are forecasted to increase at an average annual growth rate of 11.8% (2017-2022) and 8.6% during the 2nd-half of the forecast period (2022-2027), reaching $7.26 billion in 2027. Market forecast data in this study report refers to consumption (use) for a particular calendar year; therefore, this data is not cumulative data.

The Military/Aerospace category is set to maintain the leadership position, in terms of value, throughout the forecast period; however in terms of volume (quantity of units), the Commercial/Industrial is set to maintain the dominant leadership position; HEFO components are priced relatively much lower in Commercial/Industrial applications versus Military/Aerospace applications.

Through the 1990-2000 decade, the harsh environment active fiber optic component consumption was dominated by system contractor’s captive production.  These components and parts typically were custom-designed for the specific application, starting from purchased commercial units, which were then modified (a substantial design effort) to meet the environmental requirements of a specific missile, spacecraft, aircraft or other system.  Some of these system contractors now are transitioning into supplying these components to other contractors, and some commercial-component vendors are developing harsh environment versions of their commercial components.  A major share of harsh environment fiber optic cable assemblies (both plastic and glass optical fiber based) are provided by connector vendors and by specialized cable assembly operations.  An estimated 48% of the total worldwide value of $2.74 billion is attributed to the “available” merchant market relative to industry standard product serving the “rugged” or harsh environment demand in 2017.

The environments encountered by the components in harsh environments often require custom designed packaging, with much smaller quantities required, compared to packaging of components for conventional/commercial applications.  The environmental extremes that must be accommodated are greater, there often is a need for minimizing size and weight, and shock, temperature and vibration environments are more extreme. 

In military and aerospace applications, the package must be verified, by extensive tests, to withstand the specified environmental extremes.  These design, tooling and test/qualification costs often must be amortized over dozens to hundreds of packages, in contrast to the thousands to hundreds of thousands (and up) involved in commercial applications; therefore, the Global consumption of packages for production of harsh environment components and devices will expand at a modest rate (as design and qualification costs increasingly have been amortized over earlier production). 


     This market forecast report, which is available immediately, is part of a consultant service from ElectroniCast Consultants to our clients. For detailed information on this or other services provided by ElectroniCast, please contact Theresa Hosking, Marketing/Sales; thosking@electronicastconsultants.com  
(Telephone/USA: 831-708-2381)

ElectroniCast Consultants – www.electronicast.com specializes in forecasting trends in technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning and consulting. ElectroniCast Consultants, as a technology-based independent forecasting firm, serves industrial companies, trade associations, government agencies, communication and data network companies and the financial community.  Reduction of the risk of major investment decisions is the main benefit provided.  ElectroniCast Consultants’ goal is to understand the challenges and opportunities facing clients and to provide timely, accurate information for strategic planning.

Monday, January 29, 2018

Fiber Optic Fusion Splicer Global Market Forecast & Analysis 2017-2027

New Report from ... ElectroniCast

Release Date:           January 23, 2018
Text Pages:               592 pages  – PDF
Excel File:                  Market Forecast Database (2017-2027)
PowerPoint File:       Summary Data Figures

Subscription Fee:     USD 5100         Files sent by E-mail                     
Analyst Inquiry Services are included in the fee.

One-Fee Policy         All employees of the client company/organization may use this report worldwide at the consultant service subscription fee shown above.

Report Description

This ElectroniCast report provides estimates of 2017 and a 10-year forecast of the use of fiber optic fusion splicer machines.  The market forecast data are segmented by the following functions:

·        Consumption Value (US$, Million)
·        Quantity (Number/Each)
·        Average Selling Prices (ASP $, each in Thousands)


The ElectroniCast global fiber optic fusion splicer market is segmented into the following major application categories:

·        Telecommunications/Multimedia
·        Private Enterprise Networks
·        Cable TV/Multimedia
·        Military/Aerospace (Commercial and MIL-SPEC)
·        Specialty (intra-enclosure, test and measurement, rental units, harsh environment industrial, bio-photonics, sensors, laboratory, manufacturing/production of fiber optic components/devices, other applications, and non-specific uses)   

This ElectroniCast report provides our estimates and forecasts of the consumption value of fiber optic fusion splicers, segmented into the following geographic regions:

·        North America
o     United States of America (USA)
o     Canada

·        Latin / South America
o     Argentina
o     Brazil
o     Mexico
o     Rest of Latin / South America

·        Europe
o     Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)
o     United Kingdom
o     France
o     Germany
o     Italy
o     Rest of Europe

·        Middle East
o     Turkey
o     Rest of Middle East

·        Africa
o     South Africa
o     Rest of Africa

·        Asia Pacific
o     Greater China Region
o     Southern Asia
o     Rest of Asia Pacific

ElectroniCast market data estimates and forecasts are also segmented by each of the following fusion splicer (machine) types:

                    Types of Fusion Splicers
                                 Single Fiber
                                              Bench Top: Core-to-Core Single Fiber
                                              Bench Top: Fixed Alignment Single Fiber
                                              Micro/Handheld: Core-to-Core Single Fiber
                                              Micro/Handheld: Fixed Alignment Single Fiber
                                 Multifiber (Ribbon/Ribbonized)
                                              Bench Top

Microsoft Excel- Data Base Structure    At each database level, the ElectroniCast estimates and forecast for fusion splice machines is built from the bottom up, segmented by each machine –type, arranged in a hierarchy, of the types of fusion splicers, and summed upward; and the fusion splice machine per use (application) is arranged in a hierarchy and summed upward. The estimates and forecast for each fusion splicer (machine) type in each country and/or region is in terms of quantity (unit/each), value (US$ Million) and average selling price. 

Excel File Facts

Number of Market Forecast Data Tables:                                            321

Not all data Tables found in the Excel File are placed in the
PDF (text) of the report (these are extra Tables)

Number of Spreadsheets (Excel Worksheets)                                   26

One for each region, country, the global summary

Number of Data Cells                                                                                56,628

2,178 data cells per worksheet x 26 worksheets

Information Base for the Market Forecast
Primary Research     Estimates and forecasts are based on analysis of information obtained continually since 1994, and now updated through the middle of January 2018. 

ElectroniCast analysts perform interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus telecommunications, datacom, military/aerospace and other communication industries, instrumentation/ laboratory – R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of fiber optic fusion splice products. The interviews were conducted principally with:

  • Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of fiber optic fusion splice equipment, mechanical splice, connectors, transceivers, as well as laser diodes and photodiodes, application-specific ICs, packages, ferrules and cables, substrate materials, optical waveguide and other components used in the fabrication of optoelectronic transceivers, cable assemblies and installation apparatus

  • Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of cable, cable assemblies, connectors, installation apparatus, passive devices and transceivers, such as telecommunication transmission, switching and distribution equipment producers, data communications equipment producers (switches, hubs, routers), computer and workstation producers, weapon system, aircraft and spacecraft electronic equipment producers, optical instrumentation system producers and others.

  • Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.
The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.

Secondary Research   A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:

§         Professional technical journals and papers
§         Trade press articles
§         Technical conference proceedings
§         Product literature
§         Company profile and financial information
§         Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
§         Personal knowledge of the research team.

In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the world region markets for fiber optic test and measurement products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.

Bottom-up Methodology     ElectroniCast forecasts are developed initially at the lowest detail level, and then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward optical communication equipment usage and economic payback.

Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy      The quantities of fiber optic fusion splice devices/equipment, fiber cable, connectors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a “sanity check.”

ElectroniCast, each year since 1985, has conducted extensive research and updated our multiple-client forecasts of each fiber optic component category. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.

About ElectroniCast

ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in fiber optics communication components and devices, as well providing market data on light emitting diodes used in lighting.

As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.

Proprietary Statement

All data and other information contained in this data base are proprietary to ElectroniCast and may not be distributed or provided in either original or reproduced form to anyone outside the client's internal employee organization, without prior written permission of ElectroniCast.

ElectroniCast, in addition to multiple-client programs, conducts proprietary custom studies for single clients in all areas of management planning and interest.  Other independent consultants, therefore, are considered directly competitive.  ElectroniCast proprietary information may not be provided to such consultants without written permission from ElectroniCast Consultants.

One-Fee Policy

All employees of the client company/organization may use this report, worldwide at the consultant service subscription fee shown in the front pages of this announcement.

Sunday, December 17, 2017

Fiber Optic Installation to Monitor Pipelines in Real-Time

SoCalGas Breaks Ground on Innovative Fiber Optic Installation to Monitor Pipelines in Real-Time
Early warning sensors will help prevent pipeline damage from unauthorized construction work and detect leaks.

Dec 13, 2017

LOS ANGELES, Dec. 13, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- Southern California Gas Co. (SoCalGas) today announced it has broken ground on a first-of-its kind, fiber optic cable installation that will allow the company to monitor the condition of its high-pressure transmission pipelines in real-time. The fiber optic technology is being installed along a new, seven-mile section of natural gas pipeline in Bakersfield, California and will serve as an early warning system to detect unauthorized construction work that could damage the pipeline and changes in pressure in the line that could indicate a leak. Photos of the technology from today's installation are available here.

"SoCalGas is committed to modernizing our infrastructure to enhance safety for our customers and reduce our carbon footprint," said Deanna Haines, director of gas engineering for SoCalGas. "This technology provides our engineers with a critical early warning system that can prevent damage to our lines and help us mitigate leaks more quickly."

"Having real-time information on the status of high-pressure pipelines is critical in the early detection of a potential problem," said Brian Marshall, Kern County Fire Chief. "Firefighters will be able to respond quickly to an emergency and work with SoCal Gas to stop the problem from escalating."

The technology uses fiber optic cables that run along a pipeline and that transmit data across long distances. The system operates on the principle that light signals vary when a fiber optic cable is exposed to vibration, stress, or abnormal changes in temperature – all indicators of a possible natural gas leak or an impact to a natural gas line. The fiber optic system can pinpoint within 20 feet where a potential problem may be developing.

When a threat is detected, information is sent along the fiber cable to a remote monitoring station within seconds, where operators interpret signal changes to determine the source of potential intrusions including, heavy equipment operation, unexpected earth movement, or other physical impacts like structural stress from broken water mains.

Access to continuous, real-time measurements and area-specific data can give SoCalGas crews and first responders more time to plan, allocate resources, and take effective actions to mitigate potential leaks and damage to pipelines.

SoCalGas is one of the first natural gas utilities in the country to use the technology in natural gas transmission and high-pressure pipeline system operations. The company plans to install fiber optic cable along all new and replacement pipeline segments 12 inches and greater in diameter and one-mile long.

Incorporating fiber optics into its transmission pipeline and distribution systems is part of SoCalGas' commitment to upgrading and modernizing its more than 101,000 miles of natural gas pipelines in order to provide customers with the safe, reliable, and affordable energy they deserve.

About SoCalGas
Headquartered in Los Angeles, SoCalGas® is the largest natural gas distribution utility in the United States, providing clean, safe, affordable and reliable natural gas service to 21.7 million customers in Central and Southern California. Its service territory spans 22,000 square miles from Fresno to the Mexican border, reaching more than 550 communities through 5.9 million meters and 101,000 miles of pipeline. More than 90 percent of Southern California single-family home residents use natural gas for home heat and hot water. In addition, natural gas plays a key role in providing electricity to Californians—about 60 percent of electric power generated in the state comes from gas-fired power plants. 

SoCalGas has served communities in California for 150 years and is committed to being a leader in the region's clean energy future. The company has committed to spending $6 billion over the next five years to modernize and upgrade its gas infrastructure, while also reducing methane emissions. SoCalGas is working to accelerate the use of renewable natural gas, a carbon-neutral or carbon-negative fuel created by capturing and conditioning greenhouse gas emissions from farms, landfills and wastewater treatment plants. The company is a subsidiary of Sempra Energy (NYSE: SRE), a Fortune 500 energy services holding company based in San Diego. For more information visit socalgas.com/newsroom or connect with SoCalGas on Twitter (@SoCalGas), Instagram (@SoCalGas) and Facebook.

About Southern California Gas Co.: Southern California Gas Co. (SoCalGas) has been delivering clean, safe and reliable natural gas to its customers for more than 145 years. It is the nation's largest natural gas distribution utility, providing service to 21.6 million consumers connected through 5.9 million meters in more than 500 communities. The company's service territory encompasses approximately 20,000 square miles throughout central and Southern California, from Visalia to the Mexican border. SoCalGas is a regulated subsidiary of Sempra Energy (SRE), a Fortune 500 energy services holding company based in San Diego.

Wednesday, December 6, 2017

North America Outside Plant Fiber Optic Installation Apparatus Market Forecast (2017-2027)

Study Release:                     December 4, 2017

PDF File:                               125 pages  – PDF

Excel File:                              Market Forecast Database

PowerPoint File:                 Summary Data Figures

Delivery:                                 Files sent by E-mail 

Consultant Service: Fee-based Market Study:

Contact:  Ms. Theresa Hosking at: thosking@electronicastconsultants.com

Market Research Study – Consultant Services: Description

This report provides estimates and forecasts, based on market research study work performed by ElectroniCast Consultants.

This report on our market study provides a comprehensive market forecast of the North America regional consumption of selected products, which are used in outside plant fiber optic installation apparatus (FOIA). Profiles of selected vendors of products for fiber optic installation apparatus are also provided, as well as our estimates of the 2017 market share for leading vendors.

The 2017-2027 market forecast data presented in this study report are segmented into the following geographic sections, plus a (total) North America summary:

·        The North American Region

o       United States of America (USA)

o       Rest of North America (Canada and Mexico – Combined)

The forecast for each product-level is presented by function:

  • Consumption Value ($, Million)
  • Number of Units (Quantity in 1,000)
  • Average Selling Prices ($, each)

Also, the ElectroniCast fiber optic installation apparatus products market forecast data are built up from specific application, as shown below, as well as from selected product-type segments.

  • Telecommunications/Multimedia                                                                        
  • Private Data Networks
  • Cable TV/Multimedia                                                                                                                                                                       
Product Category List              Service providers that provide landline telephony are considered in the Telecommunications category, even if they also provide Internet, Cable TV, as well as mobile/cell phone service; service providers that offer mobile/cell phone service (only) are considered in the Telecommunications application category.  Service providers that provide Cable TV and/or Internet and (plus) mobile/cell phone service are considered in the Cable TV/Multimedia application category. Companies that provide Internet (only) are considered in the Cable TV/Multimedia category.

Outside Plant – Forecast Data Base Structure
Fiber Optic Installation Apparatus – Product Category List

Outside Plant                                               
Cable Splice Closure                                 
Aerial Mount                       
<12 Fibers           
12-<96 Fibers           
>96-216 Fibers           
>216 Fibers           
Pole/Wall/Pedestal Mount           
<12 Fibers           
12-<96 Fibers           
>96-216 Fibers           
>216 Fibers
Tunnel/Duct & Direct Buried           
<12 Fibers           
12-<96 Fibers           
>96-216 Fibers           
>216 Fibers
Cable & Fiber Management                       
Above Ground
                        4 Ports or Less
>4 Ports           
Below Grade
                        4 or Ports or Less
>4 Ports           

Dark Fiber: Using Sensors Beneath Our Feet to Tell Us About Earthquakes, Water, and Other Geophysical Phenomenon

December 5th, 2017
Scientists at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory have shown for the first time that dark fiber – the vast network of unused fiber-optic cables installed throughout the country and the world – can be used as sensors for detecting earthquakes, the presence of groundwater, changes in permafrost conditions, and a variety of other subsurface activity.

See entire article at Source Link: 

Dark Fiber: Using Sensors Beneath Our Feet to Tell Us About Earthquakes, Water, and Other Geophysical Phenomenon